Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caykur Rizespor win with a probability of 49.91%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caykur Rizespor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Caykur Rizespor in this match.