Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
Caykur Didi Stadyumu

Caykur Rizespor
1 - 0
Karagumruk

Varesanovic (45+1')
Ibrahim Pehlivan (66'), Han Topcu (74'), Akkan (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dresevic (33'), Shukurov (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Caykur Rizespor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caykur Rizespor

All competitions
Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-3 Caykur Rizespor
Saturday, August 26 at 5.15pm in Turkish Super Lig

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Karagumruk 1-1 Ankaragucu
Sunday, August 27 at 5.15pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caykur Rizespor win with a probability of 49.91%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caykur Rizespor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Caykur Rizespor in this match.

Result
Caykur RizesporDrawFatih Karagumruk
49.91% (0.058 0.06)25.01% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)25.08% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.87% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)50.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.4% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)72.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Caykur Rizespor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.67% (0.025000000000006 0.03)20.32% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.29% (0.039000000000001 0.04)52.7% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.1% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)34.9% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.36% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)71.64% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Caykur Rizespor 49.91%
    Fatih Karagumruk 25.08%
    Draw 25.01%
Caykur RizesporDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 11.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 9% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 49.91%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.09%
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 7.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 25.08%

How you voted: Caykur Rizespor vs Karagumruk

Caykur Rizespor
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Fatih Karagumruk
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 21
Karagumruk
2-0
Caykur Rizespor
Pesic (31'), Dursun (75')
Biglia (26'), Zukanovic (72'), Salibur (86')
Zukanovic (77')

Holmen (55'), Sabo (86')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 2
Caykur Rizespor
0-0
Karagumruk
Baiano (81')
Durmaz (90+3')
Apr 3, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 32
Caykur Rizespor
0-0
Karagumruk
Koybasi (23'), Skoda (51')
Skoda (56')
Biglia (17'), Sobiech (69')
Dec 6, 2020 10.30am
Gameweek 11
Karagumruk
2-1
Caykur Rizespor
Ndao (15', 25')
Sobiech (17'), Erdinc (85'), Arveladze (88'), Erdem (90+4')
Meriah (20')
Donsah (33')