Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbulspor win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbulspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbulspor would win this match.