Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbulspor win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbulspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbulspor would win this match.

Result
Istanbulspor	Draw	Hatayspor
43.27% ( 1.53)	26.43% ( -0.04)	30.29% ( -1.48)

Both teams to score 51.24% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.71% (

-0.34)

53.29% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.16% (

-0.29)

74.84% (

0.29)

Istanbulspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.56% (

0.62)

24.44% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.12% (

0.87)

58.87% (

-0.87)

Hatayspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.81% (

-1.22)

32.19% (

1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.33% (

-1.4)

68.67% (

1.41)

Score Analysis

Istanbulspor 43.27%

Hatayspor 30.29%

Draw 26.43%

Istanbulspor	Draw	Hatayspor
1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.27%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.43%	0-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.29%