Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.

Result
Samsunspor	Draw	Kasimpasa
58.2% ( 0.13)	21.83% ( -0.04)	19.97% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 55.49% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.31% (

0.06)

42.68% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.91% (

0.06)

65.09% (

-0.06)

Samsunspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.62% (

0.06)

14.38% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.73% (

0.12)

42.27% (

-0.12)

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.81% (

-0.06)

35.19% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.06% (

-0.06)

71.94% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Samsunspor 58.2%

Kasimpasa 19.97%

Draw 21.83%

Samsunspor	Draw	Kasimpasa
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 58.2%	1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.83%	1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 19.97%