Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 4pm UK
Ankara Ondokuz Mayis Stadyumu

Ankaragucu
2 - 0
Samsunspor

Bekiroglu (71'), Sowe (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

van Drongelen (54'), Celik (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Ankaragucu and Samsunspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istanbulspor 2-1 Ankaragucu
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 0-0 Istanbul
Sunday, October 22 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.

Result
AnkaragucuDrawSamsunspor
38.56% (-0.052 -0.05)25.81% (0.053000000000001 0.05)35.63% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 54.83% (-0.187 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.62% (-0.24 -0.24)49.38% (0.239 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.57% (-0.216 -0.22)71.42% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (-0.14 -0.14)25.12% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.17% (-0.192 -0.19)59.82% (0.191 0.19)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (-0.116 -0.12)26.77% (0.115 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.94% (-0.152 -0.15)62.05% (0.15 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Ankaragucu 38.56%
    Samsunspor 35.63%
    Draw 25.8%
AnkaragucuDrawSamsunspor
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.054 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.42% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 38.56%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.065 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.86% (0.057 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.84% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 35.63%

rhs 2.0


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