Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ankara Ondokuz Mayis Stadyumu
  • Efkan Bekiroglu 71' goal
  • Ali Sowe 75' goal
  • yellowcard Rick van Drongelen 54'
  • yellowcard Osman Celik 81'

Ankaragucu vs Samsunspor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ankaragucu

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Oct 22, 2023 2.00pm
Istanbulspor 2 - 1 Ankaragucu
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Efkan Bekiroglu

Samsunspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Oct 22, 2023 5.00pm
Samsunspor 0 - 0 Istanbul
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Marius Mouandilmadji

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.

Result

Ankaragucu 38.56% (-0.06)
Draw 25.81% (+0.06)
Samsunspor 35.63% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.83% (-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.62% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 49.38% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 28.57% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 71.42% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 13.69% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 86.3% (+0.15)

Ankaragucu Goals

Over 0.5 74.88% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 25.12% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 40.17% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 59.82% (+0.20)

Samsunspor Goals

Over 0.5 73.22% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 26.77% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 37.94% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 62.05% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Ankaragucu 38.56%
Draw 25.8%
Samsunspor 35.63%
Ankaragucu
1-0 @ 9.29% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.42% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 38.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.73% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.8%
Samsunspor
0-1 @ 8.86% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.84% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 35.63%