Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadyum Samsun
Besiktas

Samsunspor
1 - 2
Besiktas

Mouandilmadji (25')
Satka (45+1'), Mouandilmadji (58')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Tosun (17'), Colley (84')
Rosier (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Samsunspor and Besiktas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Samsunspor

All competitions
Last Game: Pendikspor 1-0 Samsunspor
Sunday, November 12 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

Besiktas

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sakaryaspor 1-2 Besiktas
Sunday, November 19 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 37.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
SamsunsporDrawBesiktas
38.15% (-1.166 -1.17)24.55% (0.246 0.25)37.3% (0.917 0.92)
Both teams to score 59.42% (-0.844 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.48% (-1.12 -1.12)43.52% (1.116 1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.08% (-1.109 -1.11)65.91% (1.106 1.11)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.3% (-1.077 -1.08)22.7% (1.074 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.64% (-1.619 -1.62)56.35% (1.617 1.62)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)23.13% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)57% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Samsunspor 38.15%
    Besiktas 37.3%
    Draw 24.54%
SamsunsporDrawBesiktas
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.133 0.13)
2-0 @ 5.77% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 38.15%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.254 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 8.34% (0.132 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.69% (0.366 0.37)
0-2 @ 5.63% (0.264 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.07% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.127 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 37.3%

How you voted: Samsunspor vs Besiktas

Samsunspor
0.0%
Draw
22.2%
Besiktas
77.8%
9