Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-0 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.