Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2023 at 2pm UK
Kadir Has Sehir Stadi

Kayserispor
3 - 4
Fenerbahce

Kemen (45+4'), Thiam (56' pen.), Cardoso (73')
Karimi (36'), Hosseini (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Under (8'), Batshuayi (40', 50', 79' pen.)
Djiku (57'), Oosterwolde (87'), Hakan Yandas (90+7'), Fred (90+7')
Fred (90+8'), Hakan Yandas (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kayserispor and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kayserispor

All competitions
Last Game: Kayserispor 2-0 Pendikspor
Sunday, December 10 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 4-0 Spartak Trnava
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
KayserisporDrawFenerbahce
30.38% (-0.836 -0.84)25.51% (0.187 0.19)44.1% (0.652 0.65)
Both teams to score 54.2% (-1.025 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.52% (-1.149 -1.15)49.48% (1.153 1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.48% (-1.041 -1.04)71.52% (1.045 1.05)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83% (-1.151 -1.15)30.17% (1.155 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.67% (-1.401 -1.4)66.33% (1.405 1.4)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (-0.181 -0.18)22.38% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.11% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)55.89% (0.279 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Kayserispor 30.38%
    Fenerbahce 44.1%
    Draw 25.51%
KayserisporDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 8.09% (0.123 0.12)
2-1 @ 7.26% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-0 @ 4.85% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 30.38%
1-1 @ 12.11% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.75% (0.312 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 10.1% (0.405 0.4)
1-2 @ 9.07% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.57% (0.269 0.27)
1-3 @ 4.52% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.78% (0.114 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.035 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 44.1%

How you voted: Kayserispor vs Fenerbahce

Kayserispor
10.7%
Draw
17.9%
Fenerbahce
71.4%
28
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 24
Kayserispor
1-2
Fenerbahce
Kocaman (90+6')
Valencia (6'), Kadioglu (67')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Fenerbahce
2-0
Kayserispor
Pedro (37'), King (50')
Kadioglu (74'), Szalai (87')

Campanharo (75'), Mensah (82')
Apr 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 31
Kayserispor
0-4
Fenerbahce

Bulut (73')
Zajc (16'), Rossi (45'), Kahveci (54'), Guler (90+3')
Aziz (35'), Osayi-Samuel (56')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 12
Fenerbahce
2-2
Kayserispor
Zajc (85'), Ozil (90+9' pen.)
Kolovetsios (39'), Gavranovic (61')
Civelek (90+8')
> Preview
May 15, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 42
Kayserispor
1-2
Fenerbahce
Henrique (18')
Muhar (44'), Parlak (55'), Behich (88'), Henrique (88')
Parlak (89')
Valencia (90' pen.), Aziz (90+8')
Valencia (7'), Erkin (32')