Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 61.77%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 19.69% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 1-2 (4.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.