Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 71.86%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 11.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 3-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 1-2 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.