Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 71.86%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 11.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 3-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 1-2 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Fenerbahce	Draw	Sivasspor
71.86% ( -0.44)	16.53% ( 0.32)	11.61% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 53.98% (

-0.89)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.19% (

-1.31)

34.81% (

1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.22% (

-1.48)

56.77% (

1.48)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.5% (

-0.42)

8.49% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.56% (

-1.04)

29.44% (

1.03)

Sivasspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.99% (

-0.71)

41.01% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.44% (

-0.64)

77.56% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Fenerbahce 71.85%

Sivasspor 11.61%

Draw 16.53%

Fenerbahce	Draw	Sivasspor
2-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.08) 6-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.93% Total : 71.85%	1-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.53%	1-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.44% Total : 11.61%