Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 12
Nov 11, 2023 at 1pm UK
Vefa Stadi

Karagumruk
3 - 0
Sivasspor

Eysseric (42'), Yalcin (79'), Dursun (85')
Keles (57'), Mercan (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Erdal (45+5'), Emre Konak (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Sivasspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Konyaspor 1-1 Karagumruk
Sunday, November 5 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

Sivasspor

All competitions
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-1 Adana Demirspor
Sunday, November 5 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawSivasspor
41.4% (0.041000000000004 0.04)24.93% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)33.67% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.47% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.19% (0.036999999999999 0.04)45.81% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.88% (0.035 0.04)68.12% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.91% (0.036000000000001 0.04)22.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.55% (0.055999999999997 0.06)55.44% (-0.058 -0.06)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.24% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.66% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)61.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 41.4%
    Sivasspor 33.67%
    Draw 24.93%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawSivasspor
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.61% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 41.4%
1-1 @ 11.71%
2-2 @ 5.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 33.67%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 10.30am
Gameweek 24
Karagumruk
4-3
Sivasspor
Diagne (45+4', 53', 80'), Ozdoyev (69')
Caicedo (27'), James (90+1', 90+6')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 5
Sivasspor
0-0
Karagumruk
Ciftci (12')
Ciftci (88')
Dursun (44'), Borini (45+1')
Feb 20, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 26
Karagumruk
1-0
Sivasspor
Borini (68' pen.)
Durmaz (87'), Bekaroglu (90+1')

Cofie (44'), Ciftci (67'), Gradel (90'), Atakan Kesgin (90+3')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 7
Sivasspor
4-0
Karagumruk
Kayode (1'), Goutas (50'), Felix (56'), Gradel (71')

Zukanovic (90+3')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2021 10.30am
Gameweek 30
Sivasspor
1-0
Karagumruk
Arslan (45+1')
Fajr (63')

Biglia (69')