Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 9
Oct 23, 2023 at 6pm UK
Vefa Stadi

Karagumruk
2 - 0
Adana Demirspor

Sangare (52'), Dursun (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Aydogan (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Adana Demirspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Alanyaspor 2-1 Karagumruk
Friday, October 6 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Adana Demirspor

All competitions
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 1-0 Trabzonspor
Friday, October 6 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawAdana Demirspor
31.72% (-0.774 -0.77)23.01% (-0.151 -0.15)45.27% (0.922 0.92)
Both teams to score 63.63% (0.185 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.59% (0.393 0.39)37.41% (-0.396 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.37% (0.421 0.42)59.63% (-0.424 -0.42)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.64% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)23.36% (0.253 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.67% (-0.375 -0.38)57.33% (0.373 0.37)
Adana Demirspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.03% (0.514 0.51)16.97% (-0.518 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.93% (0.908 0.91)47.07% (-0.91 -0.91)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 31.72%
    Adana Demirspor 45.27%
    Draw 23%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawAdana Demirspor
2-1 @ 7.43% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-0 @ 5.76% (-0.155 -0.15)
2-0 @ 4.19% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.6% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 31.72%
1-1 @ 10.22% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.59%
0-0 @ 3.96% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.89% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23%
1-2 @ 9.07% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.24% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.36% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 3.9% (0.067 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.69% (0.117 0.12)
1-4 @ 2.38% (0.098 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.73% (0.058 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 45.27%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Adana Demirspor

Fatih Karagumruk
25.0%
Draw
3.6%
Adana Demirspor
71.4%
28
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