Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 50.55%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Adana Demirspor would win this match.