Alanyaspor
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2023 at 6pm UK
Bahcesehir Okullari Arena

Alanyaspor
2 - 1
Karagumruk

Eduardo (18'), Aydin (83')
Bayir (62'), Ozdemir (72'), Taskiran (90+6'), Janvier (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Yalcin (90+2')
Shukurov (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Alanyaspor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alanyaspor

All competitions
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 4-0 Alanyaspor
Sunday, October 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Karagumruk 2-3 Kasimpasa
Sunday, October 1 at 11.30am in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alanyaspor would win this match.

Result
AlanyasporDrawFatih Karagumruk
41.13% (-0.012 -0.01)25.12% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)33.75% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.84% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.36% (0.009999999999998 0.01)46.64% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.09% (0.009999999999998 0.01)68.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
Alanyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42%22.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)56.18% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (0.01100000000001 0.01)26.59% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.19% (0.015000000000001 0.02)61.81% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Alanyaspor 41.13%
    Fatih Karagumruk 33.75%
    Draw 25.11%
AlanyasporDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.89%
4-1 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.23%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 41.13%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.46% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 33.75%

How you voted: Alanyaspor vs Karagumruk

Alanyaspor
50.0%
Draw
37.5%
Fatih Karagumruk
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 20
Alanyaspor
2-2
Karagumruk
Gunes (6'), Cavaleiro (83')
Borini (59', 79')
> Preview
Aug 7, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 1
Karagumruk
2-4
Alanyaspor
Borini (55'), Biraschi (72')
Shukurov (36'), Borini (54')
Eduardo (19', 70'), Bekiroglu (28'), Yardimci (90+3')
Bayir (15'), Candeias (45+3'), Bingol (76')
May 22, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 38
Karagumruk
0-1
Alanyaspor

Luckassen (90+3')
Karaca (37')
Awaziem (33'), Fer (55')
> Preview
Dec 26, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 19
Alanyaspor
1-1
Karagumruk
Bekiroglu (57')
Bingol (21')
Pesic (70')
Durmaz (6'), Dursun (83')
> Preview
Feb 27, 2021 10.30am
Gameweek 27
Karagumruk
2-0
Alanyaspor
Ndao (50'), Borini (88')
Ndao (54'), Bertolacci (54')

Davidson (55'), Ucan (66'), Juanfran (86')