Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.