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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Right to Dream Park
Ludogorets

Nordsjaelland
7 - 1
Ludogorets

Ingvartsen (2' pen.), Osman (11'), Tverskov (31'), Nygren (32', 74'), Son (68' og.), Rasmussen (86')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Verdon (9' pen.)
Vidal (40'), Fonn Witry (54'), Piotrowski (63')
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between Nordsjaelland and Ludogorets Razgrad.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nordsjaelland

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Vejle 0-0 Nordsjaelland
Sunday, October 1 at 1pm in Danish Superliga

Ludogorets Razgrad

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ludogorets 4-0 Spartak Trnava
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Copenhagen212.10Bardghji
2Nordsjaelland212.10Nuamah
3Brondby202.00Vallys
4Silkeborg161.60Rasmussen
5Odense151.50Don Deedson
6Midtjylland131.30Kyu-Sung
7Lyngby Boldklub131.30Gudjohnsen
8Aarhus111.10Mortensen
9Viborg111.10Serginho
10Randers101.00Kristensen
11Vejle90.90Onugkha
12Hvidovre30.30Jakobsen

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nordsjaelland win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nordsjaelland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nordsjaelland would win this match.

Result
NordsjaellandDrawLudogorets Razgrad
43.28% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)25.91% (-0.004999999999999 -0)30.81% (0.017999999999997 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.12% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.02% (0.024000000000001 0.02)50.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.15% (0.02 0.02)72.85% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Nordsjaelland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58% (0.0020000000000095 0)23.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)57.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.37% (0.024000000000001 0.02)30.64% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.12% (0.029999999999994 0.03)66.88% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Nordsjaelland 43.27%
    Ludogorets Razgrad 30.81%
    Draw 25.91%
NordsjaellandDrawLudogorets Razgrad
1-0 @ 10.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.94%
2-0 @ 7.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.33%
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 43.27%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 7.18% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.29% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 30.81%

How you voted: Nordsjaelland vs Ludogorets

Nordsjaelland
30.4%
Draw
26.1%
Ludogorets Razgrad
43.5%
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