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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 at 4pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
2 - 1
Karagumruk

Tadic (48' pen., 58')
Crespo (45+2'), Szymanski (68'), Tadic (87'), Akaydin (90+6'), Under (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Keles (39')
Ceccherini (34'), Dituro (47'), Mercan (56'), Dresevic (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Karagumruk 3-0 Sivasspor
Saturday, November 11 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fenerbahce 2-0 Fatih Karagumruk

Fenerbahce have suffered a slump in form of late but they boast the firepower needed to turn things around this weekend. While we expect Karagumruk to put up a fight, we predict the hosts will come away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 67.35%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 14.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawFatih Karagumruk
67.35% (-0.489 -0.49) 18.21% (0.342 0.34) 14.44% (0.15 0.15)
Both teams to score 56.46% (-0.901 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.21% (-1.334 -1.33)35.79% (1.338 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.13% (-1.488 -1.49)57.87% (1.491 1.49)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.21% (-0.47200000000001 -0.47)9.79% (0.475 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.47% (-1.11 -1.11)32.53% (1.115 1.12)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.58% (-0.667 -0.67)37.42% (0.67 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.8% (-0.662 -0.66)74.2% (0.66499999999999 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 67.35%
    Fatih Karagumruk 14.44%
    Draw 18.21%
FenerbahceDrawFatih Karagumruk
2-0 @ 9.89% (0.248 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.387 0.39)
3-0 @ 7.66% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.53% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-0 @ 4.45% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.38% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-2 @ 2.15% (-0.118 -0.12)
5-0 @ 2.07% (-0.08 -0.08)
5-1 @ 2.04% (-0.117 -0.12)
5-2 @ 1% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 67.35%
1-1 @ 8.37% (0.234 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.66% (0.24 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.21%
1-2 @ 4.11% (0.042 0.04)
0-1 @ 3.6% (0.174 0.17)
0-2 @ 1.77% (0.055 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 14.44%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Karagumruk

Fenerbahce
85.7%
Draw
10.7%
Fatih Karagumruk
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 28
Karagumruk
1-2
Fenerbahce
Ozdoyev (24')
Zajc (51'), Szalai (78')
Oct 9, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 9
Fenerbahce
5-4
Karagumruk
Crespo (9'), Valencia (28', 62' pen., 73' pen.), Batshuayi (90+5')
Borini (16', 66'), Kouassi (24'), Kapacak (83')
May 15, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 37
Fenerbahce
0-0
Karagumruk
Kahveci (61'), Sangare (71'), Tisserand (84'), Osayi-Samuel (89')
Bekaroglu (14'), Borini (85')
Dec 22, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 18
Karagumruk
1-1
Fenerbahce
Pesic (31')
Ugur (67')
Bekaroglu (37'), Erkin (38')
Ozil (40' pen.)
Kahveci (72')
Feb 13, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 25
Karagumruk
1-2
Fenerbahce
Borini (67')
Campi (90')
Thiam (19'), Valencia (53')
Erkin (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray34303180215993
2Fenerbahce34285189315889
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor341841260451558
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul34157124639752
5BesiktasBesiktas34156134540551
6KasimpasaKasimpasa34147135659-349
7Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor34147134551-649
8AlanyasporAlanyaspor341212104946348
9SivassporSivasspor341212104145-448
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor331112103838045
11Adana Demirspor34914114947241
12KayserisporKayserispor341110133948-940
13Samsunspor34109153744-739
14AnkaragucuAnkaragucu34814124245-338
15KonyasporKonyaspor34812143448-1436
16GaziantepGaziantep3497183954-1534
17Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk3389163742-533
18Hatayspor34712153848-1033
19Pendikspor3479183870-3230
RIstanbulspor3447232667-4116


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