Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 at 4pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
2 - 1
Karagumruk

Tadic (48' pen., 58')
Crespo (45+2'), Szymanski (68'), Tadic (87'), Akaydin (90+6'), Under (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Keles (39')
Ceccherini (34'), Dituro (47'), Mercan (56'), Dresevic (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 0-0 Fenerbahce
Sunday, November 12 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Karagumruk 3-0 Sivasspor
Saturday, November 11 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 67.35%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 14.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawFatih Karagumruk
67.35% (-0.489 -0.49)18.21% (0.342 0.34)14.44% (0.15 0.15)
Both teams to score 56.46% (-0.901 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.21% (-1.334 -1.33)35.79% (1.338 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.13% (-1.488 -1.49)57.87% (1.491 1.49)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.21% (-0.47200000000001 -0.47)9.79% (0.475 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.47% (-1.11 -1.11)32.53% (1.115 1.12)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.58% (-0.667 -0.67)37.42% (0.67 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.8% (-0.662 -0.66)74.2% (0.66499999999999 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 67.35%
    Fatih Karagumruk 14.44%
    Draw 18.21%
FenerbahceDrawFatih Karagumruk
2-0 @ 9.89% (0.248 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.387 0.39)
3-0 @ 7.66% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.53% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-0 @ 4.45% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.38% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-2 @ 2.15% (-0.118 -0.12)
5-0 @ 2.07% (-0.08 -0.08)
5-1 @ 2.04% (-0.117 -0.12)
5-2 @ 1% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 67.35%
1-1 @ 8.37% (0.234 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.66% (0.24 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.21%
1-2 @ 4.11% (0.042 0.04)
0-1 @ 3.6% (0.174 0.17)
0-2 @ 1.77% (0.055 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 14.44%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Karagumruk

Fenerbahce
85.7%
Draw
10.7%
Fatih Karagumruk
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 28
Karagumruk
1-2
Fenerbahce
Ozdoyev (24')
Zajc (51'), Szalai (78')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 9
Fenerbahce
5-4
Karagumruk
Crespo (9'), Valencia (28', 62' pen., 73' pen.), Batshuayi (90+5')
Borini (16', 66'), Kouassi (24'), Kapacak (83')
> Preview
May 15, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 37
Fenerbahce
0-0
Karagumruk
Kahveci (61'), Sangare (71'), Tisserand (84'), Osayi-Samuel (89')
Bekaroglu (14'), Borini (85')
> Preview
Dec 22, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 18
Karagumruk
1-1
Fenerbahce
Pesic (31')
Ugur (67')
Bekaroglu (37'), Erkin (38')
Ozil (40' pen.)
Kahveci (72')
> Preview
Feb 13, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 25
Karagumruk
1-2
Fenerbahce
Borini (67')
Campi (90')
Thiam (19'), Valencia (53')
Erkin (42')