Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 15

Dec 9, 2023 at 4pm UK

Vodafone Park (Istanbul)

Besiktas
1 - 3
Fenerbahce

Oxlade-Chamberlain (24' pen.)
Rebic (23'), Ucan (52'), Gunok (75'), Bingol (78'), Uysal (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dzeko (10'), Tadic (63' pen.), Szymanski (90+6')
Akaydin (21'), Dzeko (21'), Kartal (22'), Fred (23'), Kahveci (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Besiktas and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Besiktas

All competitions

Turkish Super Lig

Last Game: Ankaragucu 1-1 Besiktas
Sunday, December 3 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fenerbahce

All competitions

Turkish Super Lig

Last Game: Fenerbahce 4-1 Sivasspor
Monday, December 4 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Besiktas	Draw	Fenerbahce
34.04% ( 0.08)	24.43% ( -0.04)	41.53% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 59.36% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.61% (

0.2)

43.39% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.22% (

0.2)

65.78% (

-0.2)

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.14% (

0.15)

24.87% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.53% (

0.2)

59.47% (

-0.2)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.01% (

0.07)

20.99% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.24% (

0.1)

53.76% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Besiktas 34.04%

Fenerbahce 41.53%

Draw 24.43%

Besiktas	Draw	Fenerbahce
2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.04%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.43%	1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 41.53%