Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 52.57%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.