Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 14.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 1-2 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.