Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 21.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih Karagumruk	Draw	Istanbulspor
56.45% ( -0.12)	22.49% ( 0.01)	21.05% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 54.99% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.82% (

0.1)

44.18% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.45% (

0.1)

66.55% (

-0.09)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.54% (

-0)

15.46% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.69% (

-0.01)

44.31% (

0.01)

Istanbulspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.04% (

0.16)

34.96% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.3% (

0.17)

71.7% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Fatih Karagumruk 56.45%

Istanbulspor 21.05%

Draw 22.49%

Fatih Karagumruk	Draw	Istanbulspor
1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 56.45%	1-1 @ 10.6% 0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.49%	0-1 @ 5.68% 1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 21.05%