Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 15

Dec 9, 2023 at 10.30am UK

Antalya Stadyumu

Antalyaspor
2 - 1
Karagumruk

Sari (7'), Buksa (13')
Sahin (7'), Sari (22'), Yehezkel (54'), Dadakdeniz (67'), Buksa (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Yalcin (42')
Shukurov (6'), Yalcin (22'), Mercan (30'), Biraschi (57'), Rohden (75'), Ceccherini (90+2'), Sturaro (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Antalyaspor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Antalyaspor

All competitions

Last Game: Hatayspor 3-3 Antalyaspor
Friday, December 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions

Last Game: Karagumruk 3-0 Istanbulspor
Friday, December 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 59.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Antalyaspor would win this match.

Result
Antalyaspor	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
59.05% ( 0.2)	22.63% ( -0.06)	18.32% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 50.05% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.49% (

0.05)

48.51% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.36% (

0.04)

70.64% (

-0.04)

Antalyaspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.92% (

0.08)

16.08% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.53% (

0.15)

45.47% (

-0.15)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.64% (

-0.13)

40.36% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.02% (

-0.12)

76.98% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Antalyaspor 59.05%

Fatih Karagumruk 18.32%

Draw 22.62%

Antalyaspor	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 59.05%	1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.62%	0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 18.32%