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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 25
Feb 13, 2022 at 1pm UK
Antalya Arena

Antalyaspor
3 - 0
Karagumruk

Fernando (17'), Kudryashov (30'), Mehmedi (85')
Mehmedi (71')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bistrovic (58'), Biglia (68'), Viviano (71')

Preview: Antalyaspor vs. Fatih Karagumruk - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Antalyaspor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

After failing to win any of their previous eight league games, Antalyaspor enter the weekend contest with Fatih Karagumruk in the relegation zone.

The visitors, meanwhile, are in 11th position in the Turkish Super Lig table and will be looking to claim consecutive league victories on Sunday.


Match preview

Having collected just four points from their last eight league games, the hosts find themselves a point adrift of safety.

Despite playing out consecutive goalless draws in the league, Antalyaspor will head into Sunday's contest with a spring in their step after progressing to the Turkish Cup quarter-finals in midweek.

On Wednesday, the cup tie looked set to drift towards extra time, but late goals from Alassane Ndao and Haji Wright secured Antalyaspor a 2-0 victory.

Having collected 19 of their 25 points at home, Antalyaspor will be pleased to return to the Antalya Stadium as they aim to win a league game for the first time in 2022.

Nuri Sahin's side will look to extend their unbeaten home run to seven league games as they bid to move out of the relegation zone.

The visitors, meanwhile, will be in a buoyant mood after collecting three points last weekend before progressing in the Turkish Cup in midweek.

In their last league encounter, Fatih Karagumruk edged out Yeni Malatyaspor courtesy of a Salih Dursun goal, and they followed that win with a nine-goal thriller in the last 16 of the cup on Tuesday.

In midweek, they played host to Konyaspor and the home side took the lead through Levant Mercan before a brace from Koka turned the game in the favour of the visitors, but an Ahmed Musa strike ensured that the teams would go into the break on level terms.

The goal-fest continued in the second half as Konyaspor retook the lead through Amilton before two goals from Fabio Borini gave the hosts a 4-3 lead, however, an 87th-minute equaliser from Musa Cagiran sent the game into extra time.

In the 101st minute, Emre Mor struck the deciding blow to book his team's place in the quarter-finals, ensuring that they head into the weekend with momentum in their favour.

Antalyaspor Turkish Super Lig form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D

Antalyaspor form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W

Fatih Karagumruk Turkish Super Lig form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W

Fatih Karagumruk form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W



Team News

Guray Vural, Veysel Sari and Ruud Boffin will be suspended for Antalyaspor due to an accumulation of yellow cards.

With Boffin suspended, Ataberk Dadakdeniz will come into starting lineup with the goalkeeper set to make his debut for the hosts.

Luiz Adriano made his first appearance for Antalyaspor last weekend, and he is expected to lead the line on Sunday.

Meanwhile, the visitors are without the services of Adnan Ugur due to injury.

Yann Karamoh returned to the side in midweek after missing last weekend's game through suspension, but he may drop to the bench for Saturday's contest.

Musa has started the last two games after returning from the Africa Cup of Nations, and the Nigeria international should feature against Antalyaspor.

Antalyaspor possible starting lineup:
Dadakdeniz; Balci, Ozturk, Naldo, Kudryashov; Poli, Fernando, Fredy; Ndao, Sinik, Adriano

Fatih Karagumruk possible starting lineup:
Viviano; Dursun, Biraschi, Luckassen, Erkin; Mor, Toure, Biglia, Bistrovic, Musa; Borini


SM words green background

We say: Antalyaspor 1-1 Fatih Karagumruk

The last two contests between the sides have been drawn, and with Antalyaspor's previous three games finishing all square, we think that Sunday's contest will produce another contest that will result in the points being shared.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 19.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Antalyaspor would win this match.


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