Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
Besiktas	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
50.7% ( 0.21)	23.9% ( -0.01)	25.4% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 55.74% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.26% (

-0.15)

45.74% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.94% (

-0.14)

68.05% (

0.15)

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.92% (

0.02)

18.08% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51% (

0.04)

49% (

-0.04)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.04% (

-0.24)

31.96% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.58% (

-0.28)

68.42% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Besiktas 50.7%

Fatih Karagumruk 25.4%

Draw 23.9%

Besiktas	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.7%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.9%	0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 25.4%