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UEFA Conference League

Lugano
Conference League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
Besiktas

Lugano
0 - 2
Besiktas


Espinoza (73'), Hajdari (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tosun (36'), Terzi (88')
Muleka (9'), Tiknaz (63'), Bulut (75'), Erhan Hekimoglu (75'), Zainutdinov (79')
Oxlade-Chamberlain (90')
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between Lugano and Besiktas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lugano 2-1 Winterthur
Sunday, December 10 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

Besiktas

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Besiktas 1-3 Fenerbahce
Saturday, December 9 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
LuganoDrawBesiktas
28.2% (3.612 3.61)23.34% (0.991 0.99)48.45% (-4.607 -4.61)
Both teams to score 60.15% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.96% (-1.565 -1.57)41.03% (1.561 1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.57% (-1.613 -1.61)63.43% (1.61 1.61)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (1.846 1.85)27.39% (-1.851 -1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.13% (2.332 2.33)62.86% (-2.337 -2.34)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.84% (-2.205 -2.21)17.15% (2.202 2.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.6% (-4.033 -4.03)47.39% (4.029 4.03)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 28.2%
    Besiktas 48.45%
    Draw 23.34%
LuganoDrawBesiktas
2-1 @ 6.95% (0.665 0.67)
1-0 @ 6.08% (0.708 0.71)
2-0 @ 3.94% (0.634 0.63)
3-1 @ 3% (0.424 0.42)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.196 0.2)
3-0 @ 1.7% (0.346 0.35)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.179 0.18)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 28.2%
1-1 @ 10.72% (0.51 0.51)
2-2 @ 6.12% (0.155 0.16)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.327 0.33)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.252 -0.25)
0-1 @ 8.28% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.3% (-0.593 -0.59)
1-3 @ 5.56% (-0.592 -0.59)
0-3 @ 4.29% (-0.71 -0.71)
2-3 @ 3.6% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-4 @ 2.45% (-0.472 -0.47)
0-4 @ 1.89% (-0.485 -0.49)
2-4 @ 1.59% (-0.21 -0.21)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 48.45%

How you voted: Lugano vs Besiktas

Lugano
50.0%
Draw
29.2%
Besiktas
20.8%
24
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Besiktas
2-3
Lugano
Aboubakar (38', 52')
Rosier (43')
Rosier (61')
Aliseda (81'), Vladi (86'), Bailly (90' og.)
Bottani (43')