Conference League
Dec 14, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Jhon Espinoza 73' yellowcard
  • Albian Hajdari 76' yellowcard
  • Renato Steffen 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Jackson Muleka 9'
  • goal Cenk Tosun 36'
  • yellowcard Ege Tiknaz 63'
  • yellowcard Onur Bulut 75'
  • yellowcard Mustafa Erhan Hekimoglu 75'
  • yellowcard Baktiyor Zainutdinov 79'
  • goal Emrecan Terzi 88'
  • redcard Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain 90'

Lugano vs Besiktas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Nov 30, 2023 5.45pm
Bodo/Glimt 5 - 2 Lugano

Besiktas

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Nov 30, 2023 5.45pm
Besiktas 0 - 5 Brugge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result

Lugano 28.2% (+3.62)
Draw 23.34% (+1.00)
Besiktas 48.45% (-4.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.15% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.96% (-1.57)
Under 2.5 41.03% (+1.57)
Over 3.5 36.57% (-1.62)
Under 3.5 63.43% (+1.61)
Over 4.5 19.45% (-1.25)
Under 4.5 80.54% (+1.25)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5 72.6% (+1.85)
Under 0.5 27.39% (-1.86)
Over 1.5 37.13% (+2.34)
Under 1.5 62.86% (-2.34)

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5 82.84% (-2.21)
Under 0.5 17.15% (+2.21)
Over 1.5 52.6% (-4.04)
Under 1.5 47.39% (+4.03)

Score analysis

Lugano 28.2%
Draw 23.34%
Besiktas 48.45%
Lugano
2-1 @ 6.95% (+0.67)
1-0 @ 6.08% (+0.71)
2-0 @ 3.94% (+0.64)
3-1 @ 3% (+0.43)
3-2 @ 2.64% (+0.20)
3-0 @ 1.7% (+0.35)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 28.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.72% (+0.51)
2-2 @ 6.12% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 4.7% (+0.33)
3-3 @ 1.55% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.34%
Besiktas
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.26)
0-1 @ 8.28% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.3% (-0.60)
1-3 @ 5.56% (-0.60)
0-3 @ 4.29% (-0.71)
2-3 @ 3.6% (-0.19)
1-4 @ 2.45% (-0.48)
0-4 @ 1.89% (-0.49)
2-4 @ 1.59% (-0.21)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 48.45%

Head to Head

Conference League
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Vodafone Park (Istanbul)
  • Vincent Aboubakar 38' goal
  • Valentin Rosier 43' yellowcard
  • Vincent Aboubakar 52' goal
  • Valentin Rosier 61' redcard
  • yellowcard Mattia Bottani 43'
  • goal Ignacio Aliseda 81'
  • goal Shkelqim Vladi 86'
  • goal Eric Bailly 90' (OG)