Lugano
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 17
Dec 10, 2023 at 1.15pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
Winterthur

Lugano
2 - 1
Winterthur

Steffen (39'), Celar (83')
Mahmoud (16'), Hajdari (35'), Arigoni (74'), Hajrizi (90+3'), Bislimi (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ballet (90+2')
Burkart (82'), Schattin (83'), Ramizi (90+7')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and FC Winterthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 1-3 Basel
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

FC Winterthur

All competitions
Last Game: Luzern 3-1 Winterthur
Saturday, November 25 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lugano in this match.

Result
LuganoDrawFC Winterthur
52.39% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)22.15% (0.033000000000001 0.03)25.46% (0.18 0.18)
Both teams to score 61.86% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.32% (0.009999999999998 0.01)37.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.08% (0.009999999999998 0.01)59.92% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)14.54% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.42% (-0.123 -0.12)42.58% (0.127 0.13)
FC Winterthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (0.13800000000001 0.14)27.62% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.85% (0.174 0.17)63.15% (-0.17 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 52.39%
    FC Winterthur 25.46%
    Draw 22.15%
LuganoDrawFC Winterthur
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.74% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.47% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.17% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.8% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.97%
4-1 @ 2.98% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 52.39%
1-1 @ 9.96% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.15%
1-2 @ 6.41% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.17% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.33% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.75% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 25.46%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 9
Winterthur
2-3
Lugano
Burkart (68'), Buess (90+3')
Stillhart (31'), Rahmen (32'), Schattin (62'), Jankewitz (85')
Vladi (22'), Alexandre Costa Marques (70'), Mahmoud (73')
Hajdari (33'), Macek (49'), Cimignani (62'), Steffen (83'), Sabbatini (89')
May 14, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 33
Lugano
2-1
Winterthur
Aliseda (15'), Arigoni (21')
Ardaiz (16')
Feb 5, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 19
Winterthur
1-0
Lugano
Di Giusto (45')
Nov 13, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 16
Lugano
3-1
Winterthur
Celar (7', 15'), El Amine Amoura (89')
Di Giusto (20')
Jul 31, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 3
Winterthur
1-4
Lugano
Buess (11')
Diaby (48'), Ballet (76'), Goncalves (88'), Rodriguez (90+5')
Celar (20', 90+1'), Haile-Selassie (22'), Bottani (31')
Arigoni (27')
rhs 2.0


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