Lugano
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 14
Nov 12, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
FC Zurich

Lugano
0 - 3
FC Zurich

FT(HT: 0-2)
Okita (14'), Kamberi (33'), Marchesano (88')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and FC Zurich.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brugge 2-0 Lugano
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: FC Zurich 0-2 Servette
Saturday, November 4 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-0 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.

Result
LuganoDrawFC Zurich
26.42% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)24.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)48.75% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.68% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.09% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)48.9% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)70.99% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)32.83% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.6% (-0.055 -0.05)69.39% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
FC Zurich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91% (0.010000000000005 0.01)20.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.66% (0.020000000000003 0.02)52.33% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 26.42%
    FC Zurich 48.75%
    Draw 24.83%
LuganoDrawFC Zurich
1-0 @ 7.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 6.57% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.09% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.52% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 26.42%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.83%
0-1 @ 10.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 8.49% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.06% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 4.54% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.03% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 1.82% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 48.75%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
FC Zurich
3-0
Lugano
Afriyie (68', 76'), Okita (80')
Afriyie (71'), Daprela (90')
May 29, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 36
FC Zurich
2-3
Lugano
Simic (86'), Aiyegun (89')
Matthew (29'), Okita (50'), Katic (77'), Seiler (88')
Hajrizi (18'), Celar (41'), Steffen (90+4')
Espinoza (26'), Steffen (73')
Mar 11, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 24
Lugano
2-0
FC Zurich
Aliseda (22'), Sabbatini (45+2')
Nov 6, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 15
Lugano
2-0
FC Zurich
Steffen (12'), Aliseda (71')
Sep 3, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
FC Zurich
1-2
Lugano
Aiyegun (24')
Mets (9'), Avdijaj (26'), Rohner (60'), Selnaes (90')
Steffen (5'), El Amine Amoura (90')
Celar (19')