Lugano
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 16
Dec 3, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
Luzern

Lugano
1 - 0
Luzern

Mahmoud (50')
Mahou (43'), Sabbatini (58'), Celar (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Frydek Jr (61')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Luzern.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 5-2 Lugano
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Luzern

All competitions
Last Game: Luzern 3-1 Winterthur
Saturday, November 25 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 38.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result
LuganoDrawLuzern
38.07% (0.019999999999996 0.02)23.87% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)38.07% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 62% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.82% (0.189 0.19)40.18% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.45% (0.194 0.19)62.55% (-0.193 -0.19)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74% (0.094000000000008 0.09)21.26% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.83% (0.14400000000001 0.14)54.17% (-0.143 -0.14)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74% (0.091999999999999 0.09)21.26% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.82% (0.142 0.14)54.18% (-0.141 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 38.07%
    Luzern 38.07%
    Draw 23.86%
LuganoDrawLuzern
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 7% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 38.07%
1-1 @ 10.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.5% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.52% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.86%
1-2 @ 8.39% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 7% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.42% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.35% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 38.07%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 6
Luzern
3-2
Lugano
Meyer (19', 22' pen.), Villiger (74')
Dorn (3'), Beloko (64')
Beloko (76')
Espinoza (4'), Vladi (90+6')
Vladi (13'), Bislimi (33'), El Wafi (72'), Grgic (90+8')
Espinoza (71')
May 7, 2023 1.15pm
Gameweek 32
Luzern
2-2
Lugano
Beka (27'), Meyer (36')
Celar (52'), Steffen (74')
Feb 12, 2023 1.15pm
Gameweek 20
Lugano
1-1
Luzern
Celar (37' pen.)
Abubakar (16')
Oct 22, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Luzern
3-1
Lugano
Meyer (66' pen., 82'), Drager (69')
Bislimi (61')
Aug 7, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 4
Lugano
1-2
Luzern
Ziegler (75')
Celar (45+1')
Dorn (32'), Beloko (84')
Muller (45+1'), Emini (47'), Simani (74'), Frydek Jr (90+6')