Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 22.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih Karagumruk	Draw	Kayserispor
54.79% ( 0.09)	22.95% ( -0.03)	22.27% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 55.22% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.3% (

0.08)

44.69% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.94% (

0.08)

67.06% (

-0.08)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.79% (

0.06)

16.2% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.3% (

0.11)

45.69% (

-0.11)

Kayserispor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.9% (

-0)

34.1% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.21% (

-0.01)

70.79% (

Score Analysis

Fatih Karagumruk 54.78%

Kayserispor 22.27%

Draw 22.94%

Fatih Karagumruk	Draw	Kayserispor
1-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 54.78%	1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.94%	0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 22.27%