Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 18
Dec 23, 2023 at 1pm UK
Ataturk Olimpiyat Stadi (Istanbul)

Karagumruk
0 - 3
Gaziantep


Lasagna (29'), Ceccherini (56'), Feghouli (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dragus (27'), Gradel (49'), Nkoulou (87')
Markovic (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Gaziantep, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Karagumruk
Wednesday, December 20 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 2-2 Adana Demirspor
Tuesday, December 19 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 59.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 18.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawGaziantep
59.63% (0.021000000000001 0.02)22.29% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)18.08% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 50.64% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.51% (0.072000000000003 0.07)47.49% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.3% (0.067 0.07)69.7% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47% (0.031999999999996 0.03)15.53% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.54% (0.059000000000005 0.06)44.46% (-0.058 -0.06)
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.96% (0.037999999999997 0.04)40.04% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.31% (0.033999999999999 0.03)76.69% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 59.63%
    Gaziantep 18.08%
    Draw 22.29%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawGaziantep
1-0 @ 11.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.13% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.12% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.85% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 59.63%
1-1 @ 10.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.29%
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.61% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 18.08%

Head to Head
May 7, 2023 5pm
Nov 13, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 14
Karagumruk
3-3
Gaziantep
Baniya (32', 52'), Kouassi (69')
Ersoy (13'), Figueiredo (20'), Merkel (65')
Jan 8, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 20
Gaziantep
3-1
Karagumruk
Soyalp (6'), Demir (18'), Figueiredo (73')
Merkel (50')
Mor (50')
Torun (10'), Erkin (39'), Bekaroglu (86')
Aug 14, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 1
Karagumruk
3-2
Gaziantep
Djilobodji (10' og.), Pesic (19'), Musa (90')
Pesic (50'), Biglia (81')
Sagal (17' pen.), Djilobodji (90+4')
Sagal (37'), Mendyl (59')
Sagal (45+2')
Feb 3, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 23
Karagumruk
2-0
Gaziantep
Ndao (58'), Borini (64')
Biglia (41'), Bertolacci (45+1')

Mirallas (45'), Djilobodji (89')
rhs 2.0


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