Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 37.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.