Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 19.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Samsunspor in this match.