Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 19.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Samsunspor in this match.

Result
Samsunspor	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
58.66% ( 0.71)	21.98% ( -0.19)	19.35% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 53.93% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.75% (

0.12)

44.25% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.37% (

0.12)

66.62% (

-0.12)

Samsunspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.24% (

0.27)

14.76% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57% (

0.52)

43% (

-0.52)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.27% (

-0.47)

36.72% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.49% (

-0.48)

73.51% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Samsunspor 58.66%

Fatih Karagumruk 19.35%

Draw 21.98%

Samsunspor	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.69% Total : 58.66%	1-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.98%	0-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.7% Total : 19.35%