Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 19
Jan 6, 2024 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadyum Samsun
  • Marius Mouandilmadji 16' yellowcard
  • Taylan Antalyali 30' yellowcard
  • Ercan Kara 84' goal
  • yellowcard Valentin Eysseric 24'
  • yellowcard Can Keles 64'
  • yellowcard Davide Biraschi 90'+3'

Samsunspor vs Fatih Karagumruk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Samsunspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Dec 25, 2023 2.00pm
Alanyaspor 3 - 1 Samsunspor
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Marius Mouandilmadji

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Dec 23, 2023 1.00pm
Karagumruk 0 - 3 Gaziantep
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Guven Yalcin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 19.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Samsunspor in this match.

Result

Samsunspor 58.66% (+0.72)
Draw 21.98% (-0.20)
Fatih Karagumruk 19.35% (-0.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.93% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.75% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 44.25% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 33.37% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 66.62% (-0.12)
Over 4.5 17.06% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 82.93% (-0.09)

Samsunspor Goals

Over 0.5 85.24% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 14.76% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 57% (+0.52)
Under 1.5 43% (-0.52)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5 63.27% (-0.48)
Under 0.5 36.72% (+0.47)
Over 1.5 26.49% (-0.48)
Under 1.5 73.51% (+0.48)

Score analysis

Samsunspor 58.66%
Draw 21.98%
Fatih Karagumruk 19.35%
Samsunspor
1-0 @ 10.37% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.94% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.92% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 6.34% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 6.33% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.03% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 3.03% (+0.10)
4-2 @ 1.52% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.16% (+0.04)
5-0 @ 1.16% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 58.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.98%
Fatih Karagumruk
0-1 @ 5.43% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 5.2% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 19.35%