Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alanyaspor would win this match.