Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbulspor win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbulspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.