Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 18
Dec 25, 2023 at 5pm UK
Mersin Stadyumu
Besiktas

Hatayspor
1 - 2
Besiktas

Hodzic (80')
Rivas (51')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kilicsoy (38'), Colley (53')
Amartey (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Besiktas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hatayspor

All competitions
Last Game: Ankaragucu 0-0 Hatayspor
Thursday, December 21 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Besiktas

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 1-3 Alanyaspor
Thursday, December 21 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Besiktas in this match.

Result
HataysporDrawBesiktas
28.85% (0.167 0.17)23.2% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)47.95% (-0.163 -0.16)
Both teams to score 61.14% (0.137 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.07% (0.131 0.13)39.93% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.7% (0.136 0.14)62.29% (-0.137 -0.14)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (0.178 0.18)26.4% (-0.178 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (0.238 0.24)61.56% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.08% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)16.92% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.01% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)46.98% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 28.85%
    Besiktas 47.95%
    Draw 23.19%
HataysporDrawBesiktas
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.96% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.13% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.76% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 28.85%
1-1 @ 10.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.47% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 9.39% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.94% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.05% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.18% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.7% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.47% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.85% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.65% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 47.95%

How you voted: Hatayspor vs Besiktas

Hatayspor
29.4%
Draw
20.6%
Besiktas
50.0%
34
Head to Head
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Besiktas
P-P
Hatayspor
Oct 24, 2022 6pm
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Hatayspor
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Luis (50'), Kanak (90')
Weghorst (1')
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Mar 19, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 30
Besiktas
1-1
Hatayspor
Batshuayi (16')
Bozdogan (60')
Lobzhanidze (41')
El Kaabi (45'), Ergun (62'), Adekugbe (90+1'), Ribeiro (90+7')
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Oct 30, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 11
Hatayspor
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Besiktas
Lobzhanidze (6')
Boudjemaa (80'), Traore (88'), Kamara (90+8')

Teixeira (45')
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May 1, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 39
Besiktas
7-0
Hatayspor
David (2' og.), Larin (11', 14', 55', 65'), N'Koudou (38'), Yilmaz (44')

Canli (47'), David (75'), Ribeiro (84')