Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2024 at 4pm UK
Gaziantep Stadyumu

Gaziantep
0 - 1
Fenerbahce


Kizildag (35'), Markovic (45+4'), Riascos (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kahveci (81')
Batshuayi (65'), Kahveci (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Gaziantep and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hatayspor 0-0 Gaziantep
Wednesday, January 10 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 66.87%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 13.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.83%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 1-0 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
GaziantepDrawFenerbahce
13.36% (-0.42 -0.42)19.77%66.87% (0.42 0.42)
Both teams to score 47.87% (-1.155 -1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.45% (-0.931 -0.93)45.55% (0.931 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.12% (-0.89400000000001 -0.89)67.87% (0.893 0.89)
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.83% (-1.22 -1.22)45.17% (1.218 1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.93% (-0.986 -0.99)81.07% (0.985 0.98)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.31% (-0.163 -0.16)12.69% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.11% (-0.331 -0.33)38.88% (0.329 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Gaziantep 13.36%
    Fenerbahce 66.86%
    Draw 19.77%
GaziantepDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 4.56% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 3.74% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-0 @ 1.81% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.02% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-1 @ 0.99% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 13.36%
1-1 @ 9.4%
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 19.77%
0-2 @ 12.21% (0.34 0.34)
0-1 @ 11.83% (0.4 0.4)
1-2 @ 9.71% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-3 @ 8.4% (0.18 0.18)
1-3 @ 6.68% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-4 @ 4.34% (0.067 0.07)
1-4 @ 3.45% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-5 @ 1.79% (0.017 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.42% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 66.86%

How you voted: Gaziantep vs Fenerbahce

Gaziantep
4.3%
Draw
8.7%
Fenerbahce
87.0%
23
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Fenerbahce
2-1
Gaziantep
Dzeko (3', 18')
Kizildag (45+5')
Maxim (19'), Markovic (20'), Gradel (42'), Gunes (42+42'), Soyalp (59'), Eskihellac (77')
Maxim (23')
Jun 7, 2023 2pm
Jan 15, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 19
Gaziantep
1-2
Fenerbahce
Kitsiou (55')
Valencia (8', 90+1')
Apr 29, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 35
Fenerbahce
3-2
Gaziantep
Rossi (5'), Dursun (62'), Zajc (82')
Kahveci (55'), Aziz (80')
Sagal (64'), Maxim (90+7' pen.)
Djilobodji (52'), Vetrih (55'), Kitsiou (55'), Maxim (69')
Dec 13, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Gaziantep
3-2
Fenerbahce
Figueiredo (8', 73'), Maxim (54' pen.)
Maxim (59'), Figueiredo (74'), Soyalp (90+1')
Ozil (30'), Zajc (67')
Kim (51'), Tisserand (79')