Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 66.87%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 13.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.83%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 1-0 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.