Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.