Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 59.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 20.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
Galatasaray	Draw	Sparta Prague
59.3% ( 0.02)	20.58% ( -0.01)	20.13% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 60.22% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.4% (

0.02)

36.6% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.25% (

0.02)

58.75% (

-0.02)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.9% (

0.01)

12.09% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.36% (

0.03)

37.64% (

-0.02)

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.5% (

-0)

31.5% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.11% (

-0)

67.89% (

Score Analysis

Galatasaray 59.3%

Sparta Prague 20.13%

Draw 20.58%

Galatasaray	Draw	Sparta Prague
2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 4.24% Total : 59.3%	1-1 @ 9.3% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.58%	1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 20.13%