Europa League

Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg

Feb 15, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Rams Global Stadium

Galatasaray
3 - 2
Sparta Prague

(Sparta Prague win 6-4 on aggregate)

Demirbay (19'), Mertens (60'), Icardi (90+1')
Yilmaz (47'), Akturkoglu (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Preciado (47'), Kuchta (65')
Laci (41'), Rynes (49'), Birmancevic (79'), Krejci (82')
Rynes (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Galatasaray and Sparta Prague, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Galatasaray

All competitions

Last Game: Galatasaray 2-0 Istanbul
Saturday, February 10 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sparta Prague

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: MFK Karvina 0-3 Sparta Prague
Saturday, February 10 at 2pm in Czech Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 59.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 20.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
Galatasaray	Draw	Sparta Prague
59.3% ( 0.02)	20.58% ( -0.01)	20.13% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 60.22% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.4% (

0.02)

36.6% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.25% (

0.02)

58.75% (

-0.02)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.9% (

0.01)

12.09% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.36% (

0.03)

37.64% (

-0.02)

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.5% (

-0)

31.5% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.11% (

-0)

67.89% (

Score Analysis

Galatasaray 59.3%

Sparta Prague 20.13%

Draw 20.58%

Galatasaray	Draw	Sparta Prague
2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 4.24% Total : 59.3%	1-1 @ 9.3% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.58%	1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 20.13%