Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 31

Apr 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Gatti (21')
Cambiaso (69'), Yildiz (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Beltran (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Lazio
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta
Wednesday, April 3 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Fiorentina
42.24% ( -0.34)	27.32% ( 0.11)	30.44% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 48.64% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.35% (

-0.32)

56.65% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.38% (

-0.26)

77.62% (

0.26)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.51% (

-0.33)

26.49% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.32% (

-0.44)

61.68% (

0.44)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.17% (

0.01)

33.83% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.51% (

70.49% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Juventus 42.24%

Fiorentina 30.44%

Draw 27.32%

Juventus	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.24%	1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.32%	0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 30.44%