Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 61.65%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 15.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Genoa |
61.65% ( -1.49) | 22.97% ( 0.65) | 15.38% ( 0.84) |
Both teams to score 43.37% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.62% ( -0.97) | 54.38% ( 0.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.24% ( -0.82) | 75.76% ( 0.82) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.75% ( -0.86) | 17.25% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.44% ( -1.53) | 47.56% ( 1.53) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.41% ( 0.62) | 47.59% ( -0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.07% ( 0.46) | 82.93% ( -0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 14.42% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 12.67% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.37) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.26) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.32% Total : 61.64% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.96% | 0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.06% Total : 15.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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