Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 73.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 9.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.71%) and 3-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Frosinone |
73.65% ( 0.31) | 16.53% ( -0.13) | 9.81% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 47.06% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.7% ( 0.07) | 40.29% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.33% ( 0.08) | 62.67% ( -0.08) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.53% ( 0.09) | 9.46% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.23% ( 0.22) | 31.76% ( -0.22) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.98% ( -0.31) | 48.01% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.75% ( -0.23) | 83.24% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Frosinone |
2-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.28% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.58% Total : 73.64% | 1-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.73% Total : 16.53% | 0-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.38% Total : 9.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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