Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 26

Feb 25, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
3 - 2
Frosinone

Vlahovic (3', 32'), Rugani (90+5')
Bremer (7'), Locatelli (71')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Cheddira (14'), Brescianini (27')
Valeri (64'), Cerofolini (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-2 Juventus
Saturday, February 17 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Frosinone

All competitions

Last Game: Frosinone 0-3 Roma
Sunday, February 18 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 73.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 9.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.71%) and 3-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Frosinone
73.65% ( 0.31)	16.53% ( -0.13)	9.81% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 47.06% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.7% (

0.07)

40.29% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.33% (

0.08)

62.67% (

-0.08)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.53% (

0.09)

9.46% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.23% (

0.22)

31.76% (

-0.22)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.98% (

-0.31)

48.01% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.75% (

-0.23)

83.24% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Juventus 73.64%

Frosinone 9.81%

Draw 16.53%

Juventus	Draw	Frosinone
2-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.28% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.58% Total : 73.64%	1-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.73% Total : 16.53%	0-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.38% Total : 9.81%