Serie A Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
  • Stefano Sabelli 17' yellowcard
  • Albert Gudmundsson 52' goal
  • Vitinha 68' goal
  • goal Matteo Pessina 8'
  • goal Dany Mota 18'
  • yellowcard Milan Djuric 44'
  • goal Daniel Maldini 79'

Genoa vs Monza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2024 7.45pm
Inter Milan 2 - 1 Genoa
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Albert Gudmundsson

Monza

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2024 5.00pm
Monza 1 - 4 Roma
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Andrea Colpani

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Monza had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result

Genoa 41.81% (+0.05)
Draw 27.31% (+0.03)
Monza 30.87% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.84% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.51% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 56.48% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 22.51% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 77.48% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 9.82% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 90.18% (+0.06)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5 73.36% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 26.64% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 38.12% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 61.88% (+0.04)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5 66.57% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 33.42% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 29.94% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 70.05% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Genoa 41.81%
Draw 27.31%
Monza 30.87%
Genoa
1-0 @ 11.77% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.79% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.43% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 41.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 8.9% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.31%
Monza
0-1 @ 9.76% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.35% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.87%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Giorgos Kiriakopoulos 65' yellowcard
  • Dany Mota 83' goal
  • yellowcard Johan Vasquez 34'
  • yellowcard Morten Frendrup 86'