Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Mar 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
2 - 3
Monza

Gudmundsson (52'), Vitinha (68')
Sabelli (17')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Pessina (8'), Mota (18'), Maldini (79')
Djuric (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Genoa
Monday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 1-4 Roma
Saturday, March 2 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Monza had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Monza
41.81% ( 0.05)	27.31% ( 0.02)	30.87% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 48.84% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.51% (

-0.12)

56.48% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.51% (

-0.1)

77.48% (

0.09)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.36% (

-0.03)

26.64% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.12% (

-0.04)

61.88% (

0.04)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.57% (

-0.11)

33.42% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.94% (

-0.12)

70.05% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Genoa 41.81%

Monza 30.87%

Draw 27.31%

Genoa	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.81%	1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.31%	0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.87%