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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Genoa logo

Inter Milan
2 - 1
Genoa

Asllani (30'), Sanchez (38' pen.)
Inzaghi (21'), Dumfries (22'), Martinez (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vasquez (54')
Frendrup (20'), Strootman (47'), Vasquez (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Atalanta
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-0 Udinese
Saturday, February 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Genoa

In his 300th Serie A match as a manager, Simone Inzaghi should secure his 179th win: relentless Inter have momentum on their side, while Genoa are a lesser force away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 73.83%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 8.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15%) and 3-0 (10.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawGenoa
73.83% (-0.557 -0.56) 17.88% (0.389 0.39) 8.3% (0.1671 0.17)
Both teams to score 36.62% (-0.399 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.08% (-1.028 -1.03)50.92% (1.028 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.2% (-0.911 -0.91)72.79% (0.91000000000001 0.91)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.71% (-0.45 -0.45)12.29% (0.45 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.95% (-0.954 -0.95)38.05% (0.953 0.95)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.75% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)58.25% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.27% (-0.132 -0.13)89.73% (0.13 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 73.81%
    Genoa 8.3%
    Draw 17.88%
Inter MilanDrawGenoa
2-0 @ 15.73% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 15% (0.35 0.35)
3-0 @ 10.99% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-0 @ 5.76% (-0.17 -0.17)
4-1 @ 3.11% (-0.117 -0.12)
5-0 @ 2.42% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 73.81%
1-1 @ 8.11% (0.131 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.291 0.29)
2-2 @ 2.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 17.88%
0-1 @ 3.87% (0.129 0.13)
1-2 @ 2.19% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.05% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 8.3%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Genoa

Inter Milan
82.9%
Draw
11.2%
Genoa
5.9%
170
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Genoa
1-1
Inter Milan
Dragusin (45+7')
Gilardino (56'), Gudmundsson (66'), Dragusin (69')
Arnautovic (42')
Barella (77'), Mkhitaryan (86')
Feb 25, 2022 8.05pm
Gameweek 27
Genoa
0-0
Inter Milan
Portanova (72'), Gudmundsson (74'), Blessin (75')
Perisic (54')
Aug 21, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Inter Milan
4-0
Genoa
Skriniar (6'), Calhanoglu (14'), Vidal (74'), Dzeko (87')
Vecino (78')

Criscito (2'), Sturaro (66')
Feb 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 24
Inter Milan
3-0
Genoa
Lukaku (1'), Darmian (69'), Sanchez (80')

Zapata (19'), Strootman (40')
Oct 24, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 5
Genoa
0-2
Inter Milan

Bani (86')
Lukaku (64'), D'Ambrosio (79')
Martinez (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma33177959392058
6Lazio34174134335855
7Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3387182648-2231
18Udinese33416133150-1928
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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