Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Mar 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
2 - 1
Genoa

Asllani (30'), Sanchez (38' pen.)
Inzaghi (21'), Dumfries (22'), Martinez (69')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Vasquez (54')
Frendrup (20'), Strootman (47'), Vasquez (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Atalanta
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 2-0 Udinese
Saturday, February 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 73.83%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 8.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15%) and 3-0 (10.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Genoa
73.83% ( -0.56)	17.88% ( 0.39)	8.3% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 36.62% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.08% (

-1.03)

50.92% (

1.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.2% (

-0.91)

72.79% (

0.91)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.71% (

-0.45)

12.29% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.95% (

-0.95)

38.05% (

0.95)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.75% (

-0.24)

58.25% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.27% (

-0.13)

89.73% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 73.81%

Genoa 8.3%

Draw 17.88%

Inter Milan	Draw	Genoa
2-0 @ 15.73% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 15% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.45% Total : 73.81%	1-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 17.88%	0-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.19% Total : 8.3%