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Genoa logo
Serie A | Gameweek 5
Oct 24, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Inter logo

Genoa
0 - 2
Inter Milan


Bani (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lukaku (64'), D'Ambrosio (79')
Martinez (40')

Preview: Genoa vs. Inter Milan - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A encounter between Genoa and Inter Milan, including prediction, team news and possible lineups.

Two sides suffering with the fallout from COVID-19 outbreaks - and subsequently suffering form - meet at the Marassi on Saturday evening.

Eleventh-placed Genoa welcome Inter Milan, whose recent dip in form has seen the momentum from last term's excellent Serie A finish squandered, in the hope that several players' return from quarantine can help stem a tide of Inter attacks.


Match preview

Lasse Schone in action for Genoa in February 2020.© Reuters

Last month, Il Grifone had to postpone their fixture with Torino after 22 players and members of staff tested positive, though they are now seeing a number of those affected return to the fold.

Inter, meanwhile, confirmed that summer signing Achraf Hakimi was the latest of their players required to self-isolate, just prior to their Champions League draw with Borussia Monchengladbach on Wednesday. On Friday, however, Hakimi returned a negative test.

Genoa's 0-0 draw against Verona last week - for which they had to thank goalkeeper Mattia Perin's numerous saves - followed a crushing 6-0 defeat to Napoli. The only win, so far, for Rolando Maran's men has been against lowly Crotone on the opening day.

Perin - on loan from Juventus - is one short of 50 clean sheets in Serie A, but will fear that Saturday evening's game is not the most likely time to achieve that feat. Inter's defence may be in flux, but their attacking threat is far from undimmed.

Romelu Lukaku scored another double against Gladbach, in saving a 2-2 Group B draw. This followed the bitterest 'consolation' goal he could possibly register - in the gut-wrenching derby defeat to AC Milan last week.

However, the Belgian goal machine's laudable efforts are being undermined by a defence which has suffered from a lack of continuity, conceding 10 goals in their first five games.

The loss of Alessandro Bastoni and Milan Skriniar has indisputably contributed to such a rate - Conte's side having let in less than a goal a game in 2019-20.

Inter Milan manager Antonio Conte pictured on October 17, 2020© Reuters

Employing both Hakimi and Ivan Perisic as wing-backs can also be considered a move that has not paid off for the ex-Azzurri coach.

Ashley Young and Victor Moses may not be everyone's idea of stellar squad members, but certainly offered far more in terms of defensive cover and balance to the side.

Recent history is firmly on the side of the visitors this time, with the Nerazzurri having won their last four Serie A outings versus Genoa - by a remarkable aggregate score of 16-0.

Therefore, the Rossoblu can only hope that Inter's midweek exertions will tire an opposition eager to make up lost ground to their city rivals.

Undoubtedly, ex-Inter man Goran Pandev will have an eye on notching another goal against his former team and - given their current defensive woes - it would take a brave person to bet against the wily Macedonian forward doing so.

The last draw in this fixture came back in May 2013 - some 14 games ago. Only the most optimistic of the 1,000 home fans permitted to attend Stadio Luigi Ferraris would not accept such a result on Saturday with open arms.

Genoa Serie A form: WLD

Inter Milan Serie A form: WWDL
Inter Milan form (all competitions): WWDLD


Team News

Genoa head coach Rolando Maran pictured during his time in charge of Cagliari in December 2019© Reuters

Genoa coach Maran can welcome back the majority of his players from their recent quarantine measures. Francesco Cassata, skipper Domenico Criscito, Mattia Destro, Lukas Lerager and on-loan Davide Zappacosta all return to the squad.

Centre-back Mattia Bani and ex-Juventus midfielder Stefano Sturaro, however, are out through injury. Well-travelled striker Mattia Destro should now be ready to provide cover for the front two though.

Back-up forward Alexis Sanchez is likely to be missing for Inter, having been withdrawn early while on Champions League duty - as was Matias Vecino.

Skriniar, Young and Roberto Gagliardini are still unavailable due to postive COVID-19 tests. Perisic and Matteo Darmian may take the wing-back roles if Hakimi does not receive the all-clear to play.

Genoa possible starting lineup:
Perin; Zapata, Goldaniga, Masiello; Ghiglione, Melegoni, Badelj, Zajc, Czyborra; Pandev, Scamacca

Inter Milan possible starting lineup:
Handanovic; D'Ambrosio, De Vrij, Bastoni; Darmian, Barella, Brozovic, Vidal, Perisic; Lukaku, Martinez


SM words green background

We say: Genoa 1-2 Inter Milan

Saturday's game provides an ideal opportunity for Inter to kick-start their season at the expense of their recent whipping boys, Genoa.

As both sides employ largely similar 3-5-2 setups, the Milan giants can take advantage of their greater individual quality man-for-man to register a much-needed away win at the Marassi.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data


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Written by
Jonathan O'Shea

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 65.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 15.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Genoa win it was 2-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Inter Milan in this match.


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Game History

Who will win Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Inter Milan?

Genoa
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Draw
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Inter Milan
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Inter Milan's Romelu Lukaku celebrates scoring against Bayer Leverkusen on August 10, 2020
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan146442416822
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10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma154471821-316
13Lecce164481027-1716
14Parma163672328-515
15Genoa153661324-1115
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
17CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
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