Serie A
Gameweek
26
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-
Nicola Sansone
2'
-
Lautaro Martinez
15'
-
Kristjan Asllani
38'
-
Davide Frattesi
54'
-
Lautaro Martinez
56'
-
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
63'
-
Stefan de Vrij
67'
Lecce vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.87%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result
Lecce
19.1%
▼
(-0.40)
Draw
23.51%
▼
(-0.16)
Inter Milan
57.39%
▲
(+0.56)
Both Teams to Score:
48.72%
▼
(-0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.02%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
50.98%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 3.5
27.15%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
72.85%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 4.5
12.75%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
87.25%
▼
(-0.06)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5
59.08%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 0.5
40.92%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 1.5
22.52%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 1.5
77.48%
▲
(+0.35)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5
82.46%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 0.5
17.54%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 1.5
51.93%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 1.5
48.07%
▼
(-0.41)
Score analysis
Lecce
19.1%
Draw
23.51%
Inter Milan
57.39%
Lecce
1-0
@
6.41%
▼
(-0.10)
2-1 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 19.1%
2-1 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 19.1%
Draw
1-1
@
11.16%
▼
(-0.08)
0-0 @ 7.18% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.51%
0-0 @ 7.18% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.51%
Inter Milan
0-1
@
12.49%
▲
(+0.06)
0-2 @ 10.87% ▲ (+0.13)
1-2 @ 9.72% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.05)
0-4 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 57.39%
0-2 @ 10.87% ▲ (+0.13)
1-2 @ 9.72% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.05)
0-4 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 57.39%
Head to Head
Serie A
Gameweek
17
-
Simone Inzaghi
16'
-
Hakan Calhanoglu
30'
-
Yann Aurel Bisseck
43'
-
Nicolo Barella
78'
-
Joan Gonzalez
15'
-
Roberto Piccoli
64'
-
Marin Pongracic
74'
-
Lameck Banda
83'
Serie A
Gameweek
25
-
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
29'
-
Lautaro Martinez
53'
Serie A
Gameweek
1
-
Federico Baschirotto
32'
-
Assan Ceesay
48'
-
Alexis Blin
82'
-
Lorenzo Colombo
87'
-
Morten Hjulmand
90'+5'
-
Romelu Lukaku
2'
-
Marcelo Brozovic
55'
-
Matteo Darmian
63'
-
Denzel Dumfries
90'+4'
Serie A
Gameweek
20
-
Giulio Donati
21'
-
Marco Mancosu
77'
-
Biagio Meccariello
93'
-
Antonio Candreva
32'
-
Alessandro Bastoni
72'
-
Borja Valero
88'
Serie A
Gameweek
1
-
Marcelo Brozovic
21'
-
Stefano Sensi
24'
-
Lautaro Martinez
40'
-
Romelu Lukaku
60'
-
Antonio Candreva
84'
-
Jacopo Petriccione
38'
-
Gianluca Lapadula
52'
-
Diego Farias
76'