Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.74%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Lecce |
| 63.46% ( | 22.89% ( | 13.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 39.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.01% ( | 56.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.11% ( | 77.88% ( |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.45% ( | 17.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.91% ( | 48.08% ( |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.27% ( | 51.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.17% ( | 85.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Torino | Draw | Lecce |
| 1-0 @ 15.79% ( 2-0 @ 13.74% ( 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 3-0 @ 7.97% ( 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 4-0 @ 3.47% ( 4-1 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 5-0 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 63.45% | 1-1 @ 10.41% 0-0 @ 9.08% ( 2-2 @ 2.99% ( Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.88% | 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 1-2 @ 3.43% ( 0-2 @ 1.97% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 13.65% |