Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.74%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
Result | ||
Torino | Draw | Lecce |
63.46% ( -0.01) | 22.89% ( 0) | 13.65% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 39.8% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.01% ( 0.01) | 56.99% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.11% ( 0.01) | 77.88% ( -0.02) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.45% ( -0) | 17.55% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.91% ( 0) | 48.08% ( -0.01) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.27% ( 0.02) | 51.72% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.17% ( 0.01) | 85.82% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Torino | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 15.79% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 13.74% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.97% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.47% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 63.45% | 1-1 @ 10.41% 0-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.88% | 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.43% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 13.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |