Serie A
Gameweek
25
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-
Marcus Thuram
17'
-
Lautaro Martinez
19'
-
Denzel Dumfries
40'
-
Marko Arnautovic
90'
-
Loum Tchaouna
71'
Inter Milan vs Salernitana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 86.35%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 3.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.83%) and 4-0 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.68%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result
Inter Milan
86.35%
▼
(-0.05)
Draw
9.93%
▲
(+0.03)
Salernitana
3.72%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
36.12%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.08%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
33.92%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
44.23%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 3.5
55.77%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 4.5
25.63%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 4.5
74.37%
▲
(+0.08)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5
94.62%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
5.38%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
78.89%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
21.11%
▲
(+0.07)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5
38.17%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
61.83%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
8.44%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
91.55%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Inter Milan
86.33%
Draw
9.93%
Salernitana
3.72%
Inter Milan
2-0
@
14.2%
▲
(+0.02)
3-0 @ 13.83%
4-0 @ 10.1% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.72% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.6%
6-1 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.01)
7-0 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 86.33%
3-0 @ 13.83%
4-0 @ 10.1% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.72% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.6%
6-1 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.01)
7-0 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 86.33%
Draw
1-1
@
4.68%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 9.93%
0-0 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 9.93%
Salernitana
0-1
@
1.6%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 3.72%
1-2 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 3.72%
Head to Head
Serie A
Gameweek
7
-
Jovane Cabral
60'
-
Norbert Gyomber
69'
-
Hakan Calhanoglu
25'
-
Lautaro Martinez
62'
-
Lautaro Martinez
77'
-
Lautaro Martinez
85'
-
Lautaro Martinez
89'
Serie A
Gameweek
29
-
Antonio Candreva
90'
-
Robin Gosens
6'
Serie A
Gameweek
10
-
Lautaro Martinez
14'
-
Nicolo Barella
58'
Serie A
Gameweek
28
-
Matteo Darmian
8'
-
Lautaro Martinez
22'
-
Lautaro Martinez
40'
-
Stefan de Vrij
44'
-
Lautaro Martinez
56'
-
Edin Dzeko
64'
-
Edin Dzeko
69'
-
Lys Mousset
12'
Serie A
Gameweek
18
-
Norbert Gyomber
53'
-
Ivan Perisic
11'
-
Nicolo Barella
18'
-
Denzel Dumfries
33'
-
Alexis Sanchez
52'
-
Hakan Calhanoglu
76'
-
Lautaro Martinez
77'
-
Roberto Gagliardini
87'