Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 86.35%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 3.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.83%) and 4-0 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.68%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Salernitana |
86.35% ( -0.05) | 9.93% ( 0.03) | 3.72% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 36.12% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.08% ( -0.03) | 33.92% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.23% ( -0.04) | 55.77% ( 0.04) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.62% ( -0.01) | 5.38% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.89% ( -0.05) | 21.11% ( 0.05) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
38.17% ( 0.07) | 61.83% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
8.44% ( 0.04) | 91.55% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Salernitana |
2-0 @ 14.2% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 13.83% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.86% ( 0) 6-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.84% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) 7-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 86.33% | 1-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 9.93% | 0-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 3.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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