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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Feb 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Salernitana

Inter Milan
4 - 0
Salernitana

Thuram (17'), Martinez (19'), Dumfries (40'), Arnautovic (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Tchaouna (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 2-4 Inter Milan
Saturday, February 10 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-3 Empoli
Friday, February 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 3-0 Salernitana

Despite the managerial change at Salernitana, any response to Liverani's appointment must wait, with Inter expected to secure a routine victory over the struggling visitors at San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 86.35%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 3.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.83%) and 4-0 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.68%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSalernitana
86.35% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 9.93% (0.031000000000001 0.03) 3.72% (0.0211 0.02)
Both teams to score 36.12% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.08% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)33.92% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.23% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)55.77% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.62% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)5.38% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.89% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)21.11% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.17% (0.071999999999996 0.07)61.83% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.44% (0.036100000000001 0.04)91.55% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 86.33%
    Salernitana 3.72%
    Draw 9.93%
Inter MilanDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 14.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 13.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 10.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.83% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 5.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
6-0 @ 2.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.84% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.38% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
7-0 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 86.33%
1-1 @ 4.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.33% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 1.64% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 9.93%
0-1 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
1-2 @ 1.12% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 3.72%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Salernitana

Inter Milan
93.5%
Draw
3.3%
Salernitana
3.3%
123
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Salernitana
0-4
Inter Milan

Cabral (60'), Gyomber (69')
Martinez (62', 77', 85', 89')
Calhanoglu (25')
Apr 7, 2023 4pm
Oct 16, 2022 11.30am
Mar 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Inter Milan
5-0
Salernitana
Martinez (22', 40', 56'), Dzeko (64', 69')
Darmian (8'), de Vrij (44')

Mousset (12')
Dec 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Salernitana
0-5
Inter Milan

Gyomber (53')
Perisic (11'), Dumfries (33'), Sanchez (52'), Martinez (77'), Gagliardini (87')
Barella (18'), Calhanoglu (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan33216664392569
3Juventus331810547262164
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma33177959392058
6Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
7Lazio33164134235752
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza331110123543-843
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce33811143048-1835
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona33710163144-1331
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3387182648-2231
18Udinese33416133150-1928
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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