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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Juventus logo

Napoli
2 - 1
Juventus

Kvaratskhelia (42'), Raspadori (88')
Traore (47'), Calzona (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Chiesa (81')
Vlahovic (18'), Bremer (26'), Cambiaso (28'), Nonge (87')

The Match

Match Report

Napoli's Giacomo Raspadori scores a dramatic late winner to condemn Juventus to a 2-1 defeat at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-6 Napoli
Wednesday, February 28 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 3-2 Frosinone
Sunday, February 25 at 11.30am in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawJuventus
40.31% (0.48699999999999 0.49) 25.35% (0.037000000000003 0.04) 34.34% (-0.529 -0.53)
Both teams to score 56.18% (-0.239 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.45% (-0.265 -0.27)47.55% (0.259 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.24% (-0.244 -0.24)69.75% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.61% (0.129 0.13)23.39% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.63% (0.188 0.19)57.37% (-0.192 -0.19)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (-0.43900000000001 -0.44)26.66% (0.435 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.09% (-0.584 -0.58)61.91% (0.58 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 40.31%
    Juventus 34.34%
    Draw 25.34%
NapoliDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 9.06% (0.133 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.58% (0.121 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 40.31%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 8.24% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.92% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 34.34%

How you voted: Napoli vs Juventus

Napoli
34.6%
Draw
28.4%
Juventus
37.0%
162
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Juventus
1-0
Napoli
Gatti (51')
Bremer (58'), Locatelli (90+4')

Kvaratskhelia (45+1'), Jesus (63'), Skiri Oestigaard (85'), Osimhen (90+4')
Apr 23, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Juventus
0-1
Napoli
Raspadori (90+3')
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Napoli
5-1
Juventus
Osimhen (14', 65'), Kvaratskhelia (39'), Rrahmani (55'), Elmas (72')
Di Maria (42')
Jan 6, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Juventus
1-1
Napoli
Chiesa (54')
Sandro (44'), Dybala (90+7')
Mertens (23')
Demme (87')
Sep 11, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 3
Napoli
2-1
Juventus
Politano (57'), Koulibaly (85')
Elmas (31'), Lozano (88')
Morata (10')
Locatelli (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan32265177176083
2AC Milan32216563372669
3Juventus331810547262164
4Bologna321611545252059
5Roma31167856352155
6Lazio33164134235752
7Atalanta BCAtalanta311561057362151
8Napoli331310105041949
9Torino32111293129245
10Fiorentina31128114336744
11Monza321110113441-743
12Genoa33912123540-539
13CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
14Lecce32711142748-2132
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona33710163144-1331
16Empoli3387182648-2231
17Udinese32416123048-1828
18FrosinoneFrosinone3269174063-2327
19SassuoloSassuolo3268183962-2326
20Salernitana3229212668-4215


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