Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli2 - 1Juventus
The Match
Match Report
Napoli's Giacomo Raspadori scores a dramatic late winner to condemn Juventus to a 2-1 defeat at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-6 Napoli
Wednesday, February 28 at 5pm in Serie A
Wednesday, February 28 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 3-2 Frosinone
Sunday, February 25 at 11.30am in Serie A
Sunday, February 25 at 11.30am in Serie A
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Juventus |
40.31% ( 0.49) | 25.35% ( 0.04) | 34.34% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 56.18% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
