Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Mar 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
2 - 1
Juventus

Kvaratskhelia (42'), Raspadori (88')
Traore (47'), Calzona (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Chiesa (81')
Vlahovic (18'), Bremer (26'), Cambiaso (28'), Nonge (87')

The Match

Match Report

Napoli's Giacomo Raspadori scores a dramatic late winner to condemn Juventus to a 2-1 defeat at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-6 Napoli
Wednesday, February 28 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Juventus

All competitions

Last Game: Juventus 3-2 Frosinone
Sunday, February 25 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Juventus
40.31% ( 0.49)	25.35% ( 0.04)	34.34% ( -0.53)

Both teams to score 56.18% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.45% (

-0.27)

47.55% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.24% (

-0.24)

69.75% (

0.24)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.61% (

0.13)

23.39% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.63% (

0.19)

57.37% (

-0.19)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.34% (

-0.44)

26.66% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.09% (

-0.58)

61.91% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Napoli 40.31%

Juventus 34.34%

Draw 25.34%

Napoli	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 40.31%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.16% Total : 34.34%