Champions League

Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Feb 21, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
1 - 1
Barcelona

(Barcelona win 4-2 on aggregate)

Osimhen (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lewandowski (60')
de Jong (16'), Martinez (76'), Christensen (78')

Reaction

Barcelona's Robert Lewandowski celebrates scoring against Napoli on February 21, 2024

Robert Lewandowski breaks Lionel Messi record in Barcelona draw with Napoli

Robert Lewandowski becomes Barcelona's oldest goalscorer in a Champions League knockout match with his strike against Napoli, surpassing Lionel Messi's previous record.

Feb 22, 16:20

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Genoa
Saturday, February 17 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barcelona

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Barcelona
Saturday, February 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Barcelona
39.84% ( 0.18)	23.92% ( -0.01)	36.24% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 61.68% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.45% (

0.03)

40.55% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.07% (

0.03)

62.93% (

-0.03)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.43% (

0.1)

20.57% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.91% (

0.16)

53.09% (

-0.15)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.65% (

-0.07)

22.35% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.17% (

-0.11)

55.83% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Napoli 39.84%

Barcelona 36.24%

Draw 23.92%

Napoli	Draw	Barcelona
2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 39.84%	1-1 @ 10.89% 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.92%	1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.24%