Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Juventus |
| 31.56% ( | 28.32% ( | 40.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.08% ( | 59.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.82% ( | 80.18% ( |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.27% | 34.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.54% | 71.46% ( |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.79% ( | 29.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.84% ( | 65.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 2-0 @ 5.67% ( 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 2% ( 3-2 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 31.56% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 10.14% ( 2-2 @ 4.3% ( Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 12.48% 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0-2 @ 7.68% ( 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.59% Total : 40.11% |