Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Mar 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Benito Stirpe

Frosinone
2 - 3
Lazio

Lirola (13'), Cheddira (70')
Barrenechea (55')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Zaccagni (38'), Castellanos (57', 62')
Pellegrini (34'), Lazzari (88'), Castellanos (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Frosinone

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Frosinone
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 1-2 Udinese
Monday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Frosinone	Draw	Lazio
38.84% ( 0.44)	25.63% ( 0.1)	35.53% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 55.43% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.4% (

-0.52)

48.6% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.28% (

-0.48)

70.72% (

0.48)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.38% (

-0)

24.62% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.87% (

-0)

59.13% (

0.01)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.54% (

-0.56)

26.46% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.36% (

-0.75)

61.64% (

0.75)

Score Analysis

Frosinone 38.84%

Lazio 35.53%

Draw 25.62%

Frosinone	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 38.84%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.22% Total : 35.53%