/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ffrolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flazlog.png)
-
Pol Lirola
13'
-
Enzo Barrenechea
55'
-
Walid Cheddira
70'
-
Luca Pellegrini
34'
-
Mattia Zaccagni
38'
-
Valentin Castellanos
57'
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Valentin Castellanos
62'
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Manuel Lazzari
88'
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Valentin Castellanos
90'+1'
Frosinone vs Lazio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F09%2Fmaurizio-sarri.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result
Frosinone
38.84%
▲
(+0.44)
Draw
25.63%
▲
(+0.11)
Lazio
35.53%
▼
(-0.55)
Both Teams to Score:
55.43%
▼
(-0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.4%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 2.5
48.6%
▲
(+0.53)
Over 3.5
29.28%
▼
(-0.48)
Under 3.5
70.72%
▲
(+0.48)
Over 4.5
14.17%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 4.5
85.82%
▲
(+0.33)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5
75.38%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
24.62%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
40.87%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
59.13%
▲
(+0.01)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5
73.54%
▼
(-0.56)
Under 0.5
26.46%
▲
(+0.57)
Over 1.5
38.36%
▼
(-0.75)
Under 1.5
61.64%
▲
(+0.75)
Score analysis
Frosinone
38.84%
Draw
25.62%
Lazio
35.53%
Frosinone
1-0
@
9.13%
▲
(+0.20)
2-1 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 38.84%
2-1 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 38.84%
Draw
1-1
@
12.13%
▲
(+0.07)
0-0 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
0-0 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
Lazio
0-1
@
8.66%
▲
(+0.05)
1-2 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 35.53%
1-2 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 35.53%